Strategy
2025-12-20How to Clone Genius: Tracking Smart Money on Polymarket
Written by One Owl Team
The "Smart Money" Signal
In every market, there is a small group of participants who possess what I call "Information Asymmetry." They know something you don't. Maybe they have a better model, inside info, or just faster reaction times. In crypto, everything is on-chain. This is your advantage.
Separating Signal from Noise
Most volume is noise. To find the signal (the "Whales" worth tracking), look for these three indicators:
- Consistent Realized P&L: Anyone can get lucky once. Look for the wallet that is up 50% month-over-month.
- High Win Rate on Binaries: If they trade 10 events and win 8, pay attention.
- The "Early Bird" Factor: Do they enter positions 24 hours before the New York Times writes about it? That's smart money.
The "Clone" Workflow
Once you find a target, don't just stare at their profile. Automate the surveillance.
Use One Owl: Copy the wallet address. Paste it into the "Track" tool. Set up a Telegram alert. Now, their research becomes your notification. When they buy, you get a ping. You can audit their move in seconds and decide if you want to ride their coattails.
